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Risk of terror attacks in Europe higher in 2007; Analyst


LONDON—London-based political risk analyst Exclusive Analysis Ltd. has warned of more terrorist attacks in Europe, although actions are likely to be smaller and aimed at a broader range of targets.

In giving key forecasts for 2007, Kirsten Parker, director of analysis at Exclusive Analysis, said that there was a higher probability that large plots would be foiled in the United Kingdom. "However, we expect more smaller attacks in the U.K. with a broader target set," she added.

Speaking at a seminar hosted in London by the International Underwriting Association, Ms. Parker also warned that France is more likely to experience terrorist attacks, noting that the Algerian terrorist group known as GSPC (Groupe Salafiste pour la Prédication et le Combat) has taken a more global view. Adding that Italy and Germany were also targets for Islamic terrorists with transport in particular being a target.

Giving her view of terrorism risk in the United States, Ms. Parker said that direct action groups—such as animal rights groups—posed a greater risk than extremists. "These groups do not receive the attention they deserve," she said. Adding that logging companies, biotech groups and even ski resorts were potential targets.