Help

BI’s Article search uses Boolean search capabilities. If you are not familiar with these principles, here are some quick tips.

To search specifically for more than one word, put the search term in quotation marks. For example, “workers compensation”. This will limit your search to that combination of words.

To search for a combination of terms, use quotations and the & symbol. For example, “hurricane” & “loss”.

Login Register Subscribe

View from Washington: GOP fails legislative debut

Reprints

Will the self-inflicted death blow to the Republicans’ first major legislative effort spell disaster for the rest of their agenda?

The Republican effort to repeal former President Barack Obama’s signature health care law imploded last month when the U.S. House of Representatives abandoned Speaker Paul Ryan’s proposed legislation due to a shortage of yea votes.

The Republican proponents of the bill did their best to cherry-pick parts of a Congressional Budget Office estimate that worked in their favor, namely that the bill would reduce federal deficits by $150 billion over the 2017-2026 period. At their worst, they also criticized the hard-working CBO employees for their prediction that 24 million people would be left uninsured under the legislation. But the bill was clearly doomed by a combination of public outcry over the prospect of a huge increase in the number of people uninsured, which spooked some Republican legislators, and conservative Republicans’ feeling that the replacement bill did not go far enough in unwinding the Affordable Care Act.

The Republican Party was so deeply divided over whether to demolish the law or reform it in a way that kept some of its most popular provisions that not even threats from their Twitter-happy leader could compel members to get in line to vote for the bill.

“We had no votes from the Democrats,” President Trump said in trying to pass the blame.

No kidding. The Democrats were not going to help the Republicans in any way, shape or form overturn the health care law after they paid such a high political price for that legislative victory in the midterm elections during Mr. Obama’s first term. And the Democrats are clearly in no mood to cooperate on much else these days, as demonstrated by their threatened filibuster of the confirmation of Neil Gorsuch to a seat on the U.S. Supreme Court.

“He will have to earn 60 votes for confirmation,” Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer said. “My vote will be no, and I urge my colleagues to do the same.” So, the Republicans face the prospect of heading into the April recess having failed both to repeal a law they have been railing against for the better part of seven years and to confirm the president’s choice for the Supreme Court seat.

What’s next? Well, President Trump may be ready to move on to something that he understands from his days as a businessman is quite complicated: reforming the U.S. tax code. His tax plan pledged that “no business of any size, from a Fortune 500 to a mom-and-pop shop,” will pay more than 15% of their business income in taxes. Comprehensive tax reform could benefit the bottom line of insurers, and therefore, insurance buyers.

Republicans could also continue their deregulation push. Largely on party-line votes, Congress has quickly adopted several Congressional Review Act resolutions overturning Obama administration midnight rules, including a U.S. Occupational Safety and Health Administration regulation mandating employers keep injury and illness records for five years. I’d expect more tight votes on regulations that continue to divide the parties, including the Federal Communications Commission’s internet privacy rules adopted last October.

But the Republicans failed their first major test by not agreeing on how to do away with Obamacare. That does not bode well for the rest of their agenda.