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2012 Atlantic hurricane season near normal, NOAA predicts

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2012 Atlantic hurricane season near normal, NOAA predicts

WASHINGTON—The Atlantic Basin should experience near-normal hurricane activity during the hurricane season that begins June 1, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said in a prediction released Thursday.

NOAA said there is a 70% chance that nine to 15 named storms will form during the six-month hurricane season, which ends Nov. 30. Four to eight of those storms will grow to hurricane strength, according to NOAA, and one to three of those will grow into “major” hurricanes with winds of at least 111 mph, said NOAA.

NOAA said that during the period 1981-2010, an average hurricane season produced 12 named storms, with six growing to hurricane strength and three of those becoming major hurricanes.

“NOAA's outlook predicts a less active season compared to recent years,” said NOAA Administrator Jane Lubchenco, in a statement accompanying the forecast. “But regardless of the outlook, it's vital for anyone living or vacationing in hurricane-prone locations to be prepared. We have a stark reminder this year with the 20th anniversary of Hurricane Andrew.”

In April, the Tropical Meteorology Project at Colorado State University in Fort Collins, Colo., predicted below-average hurricane activity this season.

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